Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To BANDAI NAMCO Holdings Inc.'s (TSE:7832) Price

TSE:7832
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BANDAI NAMCO Holdings Inc.'s (TSE:7832) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.6x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 13x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

BANDAI NAMCO Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for BANDAI NAMCO Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:7832 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 19th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think BANDAI NAMCO Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, BANDAI NAMCO Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 72% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 131% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 3.8% per year over the next three years. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 10% per year.

With this information, we find it concerning that BANDAI NAMCO Holdings is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a very good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that BANDAI NAMCO Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E for a company whose earnings are forecast to decline. When we see a poor outlook with earnings heading backwards, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware BANDAI NAMCO Holdings is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored.

You might be able to find a better investment than BANDAI NAMCO Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BANDAI NAMCO Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.