Shimano Inc.

TSE:7309 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥1.9t

Shimano Valuation

Is 7309 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7309 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7309 (¥21145) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥25490.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7309 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7309?

Key metric: As 7309 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7309. This is calculated by dividing 7309's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7309's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio44.5x
EarningsJP¥42.32b
Market CapJP¥1.88t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7309's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7309 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23x
7832 BANDAI NAMCO Holdings
19x-2.2%JP¥2.5t
7951 Yamaha
26.4x19.3%JP¥527.8b
6460 Sega Sammy Holdings
13.8x3.0%JP¥556.6b
7867 TOMY Company
32.6x13.3%JP¥412.0b
7309 Shimano
44.5x17.1%JP¥1.9t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7309 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.5x) compared to the peer average (23x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7309's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Leisure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
7309 44.5xIndustry Avg. 13.8xNo. of Companies3PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7309 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.5x) compared to the JP Leisure industry average (13.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7309's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7309 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio44.5x
Fair PE Ratio23x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7309 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (44.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7309 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥21,145.00
JP¥24,327.78
+15.1%
16.0%JP¥32,000.00JP¥19,500.00n/a9
Dec ’25JP¥20,950.00
JP¥24,327.78
+16.1%
16.0%JP¥32,000.00JP¥19,500.00n/a9
Nov ’25JP¥22,900.00
JP¥25,298.89
+10.5%
17.0%JP¥32,000.00JP¥19,500.00n/a9
Oct ’25JP¥26,700.00
JP¥25,632.22
-4.0%
16.3%JP¥32,000.00JP¥19,500.00n/a9
Sep ’25JP¥27,400.00
JP¥24,854.44
-9.3%
14.2%JP¥30,890.00JP¥19,500.00n/a9
Aug ’25JP¥26,135.00
JP¥23,887.78
-8.6%
13.0%JP¥30,890.00JP¥19,500.00n/a9
Jul ’25JP¥25,065.00
JP¥23,015.56
-8.2%
16.2%JP¥30,540.00JP¥18,000.00n/a9
Jun ’25JP¥25,690.00
JP¥22,796.50
-11.3%
14.5%JP¥29,365.00JP¥18,000.00n/a10
May ’25JP¥25,910.00
JP¥22,796.50
-12.0%
14.5%JP¥29,365.00JP¥18,000.00n/a10
Apr ’25JP¥22,465.00
JP¥21,630.00
-3.7%
11.7%JP¥25,000.00JP¥17,500.00n/a10
Mar ’25JP¥20,620.00
JP¥21,630.00
+4.9%
11.7%JP¥25,000.00JP¥17,500.00n/a10
Feb ’25JP¥20,940.00
JP¥22,187.00
+6.0%
12.0%JP¥26,000.00JP¥17,500.00n/a10
Jan ’25JP¥21,835.00
JP¥22,187.00
+1.6%
12.0%JP¥26,000.00JP¥17,500.00n/a10
Dec ’24JP¥22,620.00
JP¥22,063.33
-2.5%
12.6%JP¥26,000.00JP¥17,500.00JP¥20,950.009
Nov ’24JP¥22,560.00
JP¥21,952.22
-2.7%
12.8%JP¥26,000.00JP¥17,500.00JP¥22,900.009
Oct ’24JP¥20,165.00
JP¥22,285.56
+10.5%
15.3%JP¥27,500.00JP¥17,000.00JP¥26,700.009
Sep ’24JP¥21,485.00
JP¥22,357.00
+4.1%
13.7%JP¥27,500.00JP¥17,000.00JP¥27,400.0010
Aug ’24JP¥22,325.00
JP¥22,907.00
+2.6%
13.6%JP¥27,500.00JP¥17,000.00JP¥26,135.0010
Jul ’24JP¥23,960.00
JP¥23,022.50
-3.9%
14.5%JP¥27,500.00JP¥17,000.00JP¥25,065.0012
Jun ’24JP¥21,965.00
JP¥22,780.83
+3.7%
15.9%JP¥27,500.00JP¥17,000.00JP¥25,690.0012
May ’24JP¥21,480.00
JP¥22,814.17
+6.2%
14.9%JP¥27,500.00JP¥17,000.00JP¥25,910.0012
Apr ’24JP¥22,840.00
JP¥23,955.83
+4.9%
14.0%JP¥28,000.00JP¥18,500.00JP¥22,465.0012
Mar ’24JP¥21,350.00
JP¥24,255.83
+13.6%
14.9%JP¥30,000.00JP¥18,500.00JP¥20,620.0012
Feb ’24JP¥22,975.00
JP¥26,758.33
+16.5%
15.3%JP¥34,500.00JP¥20,000.00JP¥20,940.0012
Jan ’24JP¥20,920.00
JP¥27,558.33
+31.7%
15.7%JP¥34,500.00JP¥20,000.00JP¥21,835.0012
Dec ’23JP¥23,735.00
JP¥27,700.00
+16.7%
15.9%JP¥34,500.00JP¥19,700.00JP¥22,620.0012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 02:06
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Shimano Inc. is covered by 23 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yuri NishizakiBofA Global Research
Graeme McDonaldCitigroup Inc
Morten PaulsenCLSA