Stock Analysis

We Think Tama Home (TSE:1419) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

TSE:1419
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Tama Home Co., Ltd. (TSE:1419) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Tama Home

What Is Tama Home's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Tama Home had JP¥17.6b in debt in February 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had JP¥13.9b in cash, and so its net debt is JP¥3.65b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:1419 Debt to Equity History May 2nd 2024

How Healthy Is Tama Home's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tama Home had liabilities of JP¥64.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥8.27b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥13.9b as well as receivables valued at JP¥2.71b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total JP¥55.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Tama Home has a market capitalization of JP¥129.4b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Tama Home's net debt is only 0.39 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 36.3 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In fact Tama Home's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 43% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Tama Home's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Tama Home created free cash flow amounting to 9.7% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

While Tama Home's EBIT growth rate has us nervous. For example, its interest cover and net debt to EBITDA give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Tama Home's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Tama Home is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.