Nakabayashi Co., Ltd. (TSE:7987) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥12.00 per share on the 30th of June. This makes the dividend yield 4.0%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
Nakabayashi's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. However, Nakabayashi's earnings easily cover the dividend. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.
Looking forward, earnings per share could rise by 2.6% over the next year if the trend from the last few years continues. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 33%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
View our latest analysis for Nakabayashi
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was ¥12.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ¥22.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 6.2% over that duration. We have seen cuts in the past, so while the growth looks promising we would be a little bit cautious about its track record.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Earnings have grown at around 2.6% a year for the past five years, which isn't massive but still better than seeing them shrink. If Nakabayashi is struggling to find viable investments, it always has the option to increase its payout ratio to pay more to shareholders.
Our Thoughts On Nakabayashi's Dividend
In summary, we are pleased with the dividend remaining consistent, and we think there is a good chance of this continuing in the future. While the payout ratios are a good sign, we are less enthusiastic about the company's dividend record. Taking all of this into consideration, the dividend looks viable moving forward, but investors should be mindful that the company has pushed the boundaries of sustainability in the past and may do so again.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Nakabayashi that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Nakabayashi not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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