Mitsubishi Pencil Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:7976) investors are due to receive a payment of ¥26.00 per share on 30th of March. This will take the annual payment to 2.6% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.
Mitsubishi Pencil's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Mitsubishi Pencil is quite easily earning enough to cover the dividend, however it is being let down by weak cash flows. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 12.4%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 36% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
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Mitsubishi Pencil Has A Solid Track Record
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥16.50 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥54.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 13% per annum over that time. Rapidly growing dividends for a long time is a very valuable feature for an income stock.
The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow
The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. It's encouraging to see that Mitsubishi Pencil has been growing its earnings per share at 24% a year over the past five years. Earnings have been growing rapidly, and with a low payout ratio we think that the company could turn out to be a great dividend stock.
Our Thoughts On Mitsubishi Pencil's Dividend
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Mitsubishi Pencil's payments are rock solid. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Mitsubishi Pencil that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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