Stock Analysis

We Think NLINKS (TSE:6578) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

TSE:6578
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that NLINKS Co., Ltd. (TSE:6578) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for NLINKS

What Is NLINKS's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of November 2023, NLINKS had JP¥670.0m of debt, up from JP¥341.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have JP¥1.37b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of JP¥699.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:6578 Debt to Equity History March 1st 2024

A Look At NLINKS' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that NLINKS had liabilities of JP¥1.18b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥1.00m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥1.37b and JP¥473.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has JP¥663.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity suggests that NLINKS is taking a careful approach to debt. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, NLINKS boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In fact NLINKS's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 41% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is NLINKS's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While NLINKS has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Considering the last two years, NLINKS actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case NLINKS has JP¥699.0m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with NLINKS's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for NLINKS that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.