Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings (TSE:6183) Is Using Debt Extensively

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TSE:6183

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings, Inc. (TSE:6183) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings

What Is BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings had JP¥54.8b of debt, at May 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had JP¥7.29b in cash, and so its net debt is JP¥47.5b.

TSE:6183 Debt to Equity History October 11th 2024

How Healthy Is BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings had liabilities of JP¥63.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥45.6b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥7.29b and JP¥20.0b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥81.8b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of JP¥108.8b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.6, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. However, its interest coverage of 23.4 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Importantly, BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 38% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

While BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings's EBIT growth rate has us nervous. For example, its interest cover and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. We think that BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BELLSYSTEM24 Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.