Stock Analysis

Is Fullcast Holdings (TSE:4848) A Risky Investment?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Fullcast Holdings Co., Ltd. (TSE:4848) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

What Is Fullcast Holdings's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Fullcast Holdings had JP¥1.00b of debt, at December 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But on the other hand it also has JP¥17.5b in cash, leading to a JP¥16.5b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:4848 Debt to Equity History April 8th 2025

How Strong Is Fullcast Holdings' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Fullcast Holdings had liabilities of JP¥10.2b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥2.41b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of JP¥17.5b and JP¥7.63b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has JP¥12.6b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that Fullcast Holdings is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Fullcast Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

View our latest analysis for Fullcast Holdings

On the other hand, Fullcast Holdings's EBIT dived 18%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Fullcast Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts .

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Fullcast Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Fullcast Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Fullcast Holdings has net cash of JP¥16.5b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Fullcast Holdings's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Fullcast Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.