Stock Analysis

Weathernews' (TSE:4825) Earnings Offer More Than Meets The Eye

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TSE:4825

Shareholders appeared to be happy with Weathernews Inc.'s (TSE:4825) solid earnings report last week. This reaction by the market reaction is understandable when looking at headline profits and we have found some further encouraging factors.

Check out our latest analysis for Weathernews

TSE:4825 Earnings and Revenue History January 17th 2025

A Closer Look At Weathernews' Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Weathernews has an accrual ratio of -0.19 for the year to November 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of JP¥3.7b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of JP¥2.55b. Weathernews shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Weathernews.

Our Take On Weathernews' Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Weathernews' accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Weathernews' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 68% per year over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about Weathernews as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Weathernews you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Weathernews' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Weathernews might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.