Stock Analysis

Should You Buy Weathernews Inc. (TSE:4825) For Its Upcoming Dividend?

TSE:4825
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Readers hoping to buy Weathernews Inc. (TSE:4825) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. This means that investors who purchase Weathernews' shares on or after the 28th of November will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 27th of January.

The company's upcoming dividend is JP¥70.00 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of JP¥140 per share to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Weathernews stock has a trailing yield of around 2.4% on the current share price of JP¥5820.00. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. So we need to investigate whether Weathernews can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

See our latest analysis for Weathernews

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Weathernews paid out 58% of its earnings to investors last year, a normal payout level for most businesses. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Weathernews generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. It distributed 44% of its free cash flow as dividends, a comfortable payout level for most companies.

It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.

Click here to see how much of its profit Weathernews paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
TSE:4825 Historic Dividend November 24th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with strong growth prospects usually make the best dividend payers, because it's easier to grow dividends when earnings per share are improving. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. Fortunately for readers, Weathernews's earnings per share have been growing at 11% a year for the past five years. Weathernews is paying out a bit over half its earnings, which suggests the company is striking a balance between reinvesting in growth, and paying dividends. This is a reasonable combination that could hint at some further dividend increases in the future.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Weathernews has delivered an average of 8.8% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments. It's encouraging to see the company lifting dividends while earnings are growing, suggesting at least some corporate interest in rewarding shareholders.

To Sum It Up

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Weathernews? Weathernews's growing earnings per share and conservative payout ratios make for a decent combination. We also like that it paid out a lower percentage of its cash flow. Overall we think this is an attractive combination and worthy of further research.

On that note, you'll want to research what risks Weathernews is facing. To help with this, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Weathernews that you should be aware of before investing in their shares.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Weathernews might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.