Stock Analysis

Plaza Create HonshaLtd (TYO:7502) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

TSE:7502
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Plaza Create Honsha Co.,Ltd. (TYO:7502) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Plaza Create HonshaLtd

What Is Plaza Create HonshaLtd's Debt?

As you can see below, Plaza Create HonshaLtd had JP¥6.22b of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has JP¥1.64b in cash leading to net debt of about JP¥4.58b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
JASDAQ:7502 Debt to Equity History December 15th 2020

How Healthy Is Plaza Create HonshaLtd's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Plaza Create HonshaLtd had liabilities of JP¥5.61b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥4.04b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥1.64b as well as receivables valued at JP¥1.62b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total JP¥6.39b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's JP¥4.50b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With net debt to EBITDA of 3.5 Plaza Create HonshaLtd has a fairly noticeable amount of debt. On the plus side, its EBIT was 8.4 times its interest expense, and its net debt to EBITDA, was quite high, at 3.5. Importantly, Plaza Create HonshaLtd grew its EBIT by 100% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Plaza Create HonshaLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Plaza Create HonshaLtd produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 65% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Neither Plaza Create HonshaLtd's ability to handle its total liabilities nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Plaza Create HonshaLtd's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Plaza Create HonshaLtd .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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