If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think F&MLtd (TYO:4771) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for F&MLtd, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.16 = JP¥1.3b ÷ (JP¥9.6b - JP¥1.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Therefore, F&MLtd has an ROCE of 16%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 8.1% generated by the Commercial Services industry.
See our latest analysis for F&MLtd
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating F&MLtd's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at F&MLtd, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 21%, but since then they've fallen to 16%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, F&MLtd is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. Since the stock has gained an impressive 62% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
While F&MLtd doesn't shine too bright in this respect, it's still worth seeing if the company is trading at attractive prices. You can find that out with our FREE intrinsic value estimation on our platform.
While F&MLtd isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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About TSE:4771
F&MLtd
Provides management support and accounting services for medium and small businesses, and individual business owners.
Flawless balance sheet average dividend payer.