Earnings Tell The Story For MISUMI Group Inc. (TSE:9962) As Its Stock Soars 25%

MISUMI Group Inc. (TSE:9962) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 24% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, MISUMI Group may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.8x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 14x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, MISUMI Group's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for MISUMI Group

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on MISUMI Group.

Is There Enough Growth For MISUMI Group?

MISUMI Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 17% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 66% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 13% each year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 10% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why MISUMI Group is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From MISUMI Group's P/E?

Shares in MISUMI Group have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that MISUMI Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - MISUMI Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.