Sumitomo Valuation

Is 8053 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8053 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8053 (¥4300) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥3489.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8053 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8053?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

8053 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA13.8x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8053's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8053 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.6x
8002 Marubeni
10.3x1.9%JP¥4.9t
8015 Toyota Tsusho
10.6x4.1%JP¥3.5t
8001 ITOCHU
14.4x5.5%JP¥10.5t
8031 Mitsui
10.8x-5.6%JP¥11.5t
8053 Sumitomo
13.6x10.2%JP¥5.3t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8053 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the peer average (11.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8053's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Trade Distributors Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8053 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the JP Trade Distributors industry average (10.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8053's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8053 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.6x
Fair PE Ratio23.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8053 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8053 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥4,300.00
JP¥3,856.00
-10.3%
9.9%JP¥4,500.00JP¥3,100.00n/a10
Apr ’25JP¥3,559.00
JP¥3,716.00
+4.4%
10.1%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,100.00n/a10
Mar ’25JP¥3,553.00
JP¥3,595.00
+1.2%
11.8%JP¥4,200.00JP¥3,100.00n/a10
Feb ’25JP¥3,393.00
JP¥3,436.00
+1.3%
7.9%JP¥4,000.00JP¥3,100.00n/a10
Jan ’25JP¥3,076.00
JP¥3,357.00
+9.1%
9.7%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,900.00n/a10
Dec ’24JP¥3,164.00
JP¥3,271.00
+3.4%
10.6%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,890.00n/a10
Nov ’24JP¥3,010.00
JP¥3,216.00
+6.8%
10.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,890.00n/a10
Oct ’24JP¥2,984.00
JP¥3,226.00
+8.1%
10.1%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,890.00n/a10
Sep ’24JP¥3,044.00
JP¥3,196.00
+5.0%
11.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,620.00n/a10
Aug ’24JP¥3,059.00
JP¥3,157.00
+3.2%
11.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,620.00n/a10
Jul ’24JP¥3,041.00
JP¥3,007.00
-1.1%
16.1%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,300.00n/a10
Jun ’24JP¥2,673.00
JP¥2,617.78
-2.1%
10.5%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,300.00n/a9
May ’24JP¥2,476.50
JP¥2,544.44
+2.7%
10.0%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥4,120.009
Apr ’24JP¥2,341.00
JP¥2,527.78
+8.0%
10.5%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,300.00JP¥3,559.009
Mar ’24JP¥2,360.50
JP¥2,468.89
+4.6%
12.6%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥3,553.009
Feb ’24JP¥2,328.00
JP¥2,439.00
+4.8%
12.8%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥3,393.0010
Jan ’24JP¥2,196.00
JP¥2,409.00
+9.7%
13.8%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥3,076.0010
Dec ’23JP¥2,237.50
JP¥2,269.00
+1.4%
12.1%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,930.00JP¥3,164.0010
Nov ’23JP¥1,976.00
JP¥2,211.00
+11.9%
10.9%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,930.00JP¥3,010.0010
Oct ’23JP¥1,802.50
JP¥2,171.00
+20.4%
8.1%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,930.00JP¥2,984.0010
Sep ’23JP¥1,920.00
JP¥2,154.00
+12.2%
8.4%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,930.00JP¥3,044.0010
Aug ’23JP¥1,900.00
JP¥2,108.00
+10.9%
7.6%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,830.00JP¥3,059.0010
Jul ’23JP¥1,844.00
JP¥2,175.00
+18.0%
7.5%JP¥2,420.00JP¥1,930.00JP¥3,041.0010
Jun ’23JP¥1,895.50
JP¥2,199.00
+16.0%
8.6%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,920.00JP¥2,673.0010
May ’23JP¥2,061.50
JP¥2,228.00
+8.1%
15.7%JP¥3,000.00JP¥1,650.00JP¥2,476.5010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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