Mitsui Valuation

Is 8031 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8031 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8031 (¥3270) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3559.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8031 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8031?

Key metric: As 8031 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8031. This is calculated by dividing 8031's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8031's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.4x
EarningsJP¥1.02t
Market CapJP¥9.56t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8031's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8031 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.5x
8058 Mitsubishi
9.2x-6.2%JP¥10.3t
8001 ITOCHU
13.1x4.7%JP¥10.8t
8053 Sumitomo
11x10.2%JP¥3.9t
8002 Marubeni
8.6x3.7%JP¥3.9t
8031 Mitsui
9.4x-3.4%JP¥9.6t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8031 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the peer average (10.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8031's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Trade Distributors Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
8031 9.4xIndustry Avg. 9.6xNo. of Companies19PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8031 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the JP Trade Distributors industry average (9.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8031's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8031 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.4x
Fair PE Ratio17.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8031 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8031 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,270.00
JP¥3,794.55
+16.0%
12.1%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,290.00n/a11
Nov ’25JP¥3,154.00
JP¥3,767.27
+19.4%
13.0%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,100.00n/a11
Oct ’25JP¥3,291.00
JP¥3,803.33
+15.6%
12.7%JP¥4,700.00JP¥3,100.00n/a12
Sep ’25JP¥3,123.00
JP¥4,131.67
+32.3%
11.6%JP¥4,850.00JP¥3,290.00n/a12
Aug ’25JP¥3,399.00
JP¥4,314.09
+26.9%
7.7%JP¥4,850.00JP¥3,750.00n/a11
Jul ’25JP¥3,696.00
JP¥4,120.91
+11.5%
10.4%JP¥4,850.00JP¥3,350.00n/a11
Jun ’25JP¥3,985.00
JP¥3,864.09
-3.0%
11.2%JP¥4,565.00JP¥3,055.00n/a11
May ’25JP¥3,779.00
JP¥3,689.09
-2.4%
10.5%JP¥4,250.00JP¥3,055.00n/a11
Apr ’25JP¥3,462.00
JP¥3,420.91
-1.2%
12.6%JP¥4,250.00JP¥2,750.00n/a11
Mar ’25JP¥3,356.50
JP¥3,248.18
-3.2%
13.1%JP¥4,250.00JP¥2,745.00n/a11
Feb ’25JP¥3,031.00
JP¥3,082.27
+1.7%
8.8%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,500.00n/a11
Jan ’25JP¥2,649.00
JP¥3,046.36
+15.0%
8.4%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,500.00n/a11
Dec ’24JP¥2,722.50
JP¥3,030.00
+11.3%
8.3%JP¥3,350.00JP¥2,500.00n/a11
Nov ’24JP¥2,739.00
JP¥3,023.18
+10.4%
8.1%JP¥3,350.00JP¥2,500.00JP¥3,154.0011
Oct ’24JP¥2,711.50
JP¥3,011.82
+11.1%
8.1%JP¥3,350.00JP¥2,500.00JP¥3,291.0011
Sep ’24JP¥2,750.00
JP¥2,940.00
+6.9%
8.7%JP¥3,350.00JP¥2,500.00JP¥3,123.0011
Aug ’24JP¥2,834.50
JP¥2,872.73
+1.3%
7.1%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,500.00JP¥3,399.0011
Jul ’24JP¥2,705.50
JP¥2,706.82
+0.05%
10.3%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,250.00JP¥3,696.0011
Jun ’24JP¥2,243.00
JP¥2,498.00
+11.4%
8.1%JP¥2,750.00JP¥2,240.00JP¥3,985.0010
May ’24JP¥2,158.50
JP¥2,455.50
+13.8%
8.9%JP¥2,750.00JP¥2,055.00JP¥3,779.0010
Apr ’24JP¥2,058.00
JP¥2,403.33
+16.8%
11.1%JP¥2,750.00JP¥2,050.00JP¥3,462.009
Mar ’24JP¥1,981.50
JP¥2,362.22
+19.2%
13.0%JP¥2,750.00JP¥1,950.00JP¥3,356.509
Feb ’24JP¥1,932.00
JP¥2,236.50
+15.8%
17.2%JP¥2,750.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥3,031.0010
Jan ’24JP¥1,926.50
JP¥2,209.00
+14.7%
18.0%JP¥2,750.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥2,649.0010
Dec ’23JP¥1,964.50
JP¥2,050.50
+4.4%
16.7%JP¥2,550.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥2,722.5010
Nov ’23JP¥1,739.50
JP¥2,019.50
+16.1%
16.4%JP¥2,550.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥2,739.0010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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