ITOCHU Valuation

Is 8001 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8001 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8001 (¥7231) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥5773.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8001 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8001?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

8001 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA13.1x
PEG Ratio2.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8001's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8001 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.3x
8031 Mitsui
11.5x-5.7%JP¥12.2t
8058 Mitsubishi
14.1x-0.2%JP¥13.6t
8053 Sumitomo
12.9x10.6%JP¥5.0t
8002 Marubeni
10.9x2.5%JP¥5.1t
8001 ITOCHU
13x4.4%JP¥10.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8001 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the peer average (12.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8001's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Trade Distributors Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8001 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the JP Trade Distributors industry average (10x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8001's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8001 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13x
Fair PE Ratio23x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8001 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8001 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥7,231.00
JP¥7,383.33
+2.1%
6.6%JP¥8,500.00JP¥6,700.00n/a9
May ’25JP¥7,131.00
JP¥7,283.33
+2.1%
8.1%JP¥8,500.00JP¥6,300.00n/a9
Apr ’25JP¥6,435.00
JP¥7,283.33
+13.2%
8.1%JP¥8,500.00JP¥6,300.00n/a9
Mar ’25JP¥6,606.00
JP¥7,094.44
+7.4%
8.6%JP¥8,500.00JP¥6,300.00n/a9
Feb ’25JP¥6,747.00
JP¥6,672.22
-1.1%
6.6%JP¥7,100.00JP¥5,700.00n/a9
Jan ’25JP¥5,767.00
JP¥6,534.44
+13.3%
6.8%JP¥7,000.00JP¥5,700.00n/a9
Dec ’24JP¥5,889.00
JP¥6,427.78
+9.1%
7.9%JP¥7,000.00JP¥5,700.00n/a9
Nov ’24JP¥5,554.00
JP¥6,381.11
+14.9%
8.3%JP¥7,000.00JP¥5,500.00n/a9
Oct ’24JP¥5,406.00
JP¥6,381.11
+18.0%
8.3%JP¥7,000.00JP¥5,500.00n/a9
Sep ’24JP¥5,617.00
JP¥6,257.78
+11.4%
9.3%JP¥7,000.00JP¥5,400.00n/a9
Aug ’24JP¥5,753.00
JP¥6,108.89
+6.2%
9.1%JP¥7,000.00JP¥5,400.00n/a9
Jul ’24JP¥5,687.00
JP¥5,903.33
+3.8%
12.1%JP¥7,000.00JP¥4,900.00n/a9
Jun ’24JP¥4,787.00
JP¥5,285.00
+10.4%
7.1%JP¥5,900.00JP¥4,780.00n/a8
May ’24JP¥4,549.00
JP¥5,166.25
+13.6%
7.2%JP¥5,900.00JP¥4,780.00JP¥7,131.008
Apr ’24JP¥4,301.00
JP¥5,135.00
+19.4%
7.3%JP¥5,900.00JP¥4,780.00JP¥6,435.008
Mar ’24JP¥4,120.00
JP¥5,112.50
+24.1%
8.8%JP¥5,900.00JP¥4,600.00JP¥6,606.008
Feb ’24JP¥4,176.00
JP¥4,992.22
+19.5%
11.9%JP¥5,900.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥6,747.009
Jan ’24JP¥4,146.00
JP¥4,981.11
+20.1%
11.9%JP¥5,900.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥5,767.009
Dec ’23JP¥4,262.00
JP¥4,811.11
+12.9%
9.5%JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥5,889.009
Nov ’23JP¥3,982.00
JP¥4,773.33
+19.9%
9.3%JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥5,554.009
Oct ’23JP¥3,501.00
JP¥4,773.33
+36.3%
9.3%JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥5,406.009
Sep ’23JP¥3,686.00
JP¥4,717.78
+28.0%
9.1%JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥5,617.009
Aug ’23JP¥3,950.00
JP¥4,675.56
+18.4%
8.9%JP¥5,300.00JP¥3,800.00JP¥5,753.009
Jul ’23JP¥3,693.00
JP¥4,701.11
+27.3%
7.8%JP¥5,300.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥5,687.009
Jun ’23JP¥3,751.00
JP¥4,681.11
+24.8%
8.1%JP¥5,300.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,787.009
May ’23JP¥3,932.00
JP¥4,638.89
+18.0%
8.8%JP¥5,300.00JP¥4,100.00JP¥4,549.009

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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