Marubeni Corporation

TSE:8002 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥4.1t

Marubeni Valuation

Is 8002 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8002 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8002 (¥2460.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥2196.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8002 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8002?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

8002 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.4x
PEG Ratio2.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8002's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8002 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.1x
8053 Sumitomo
10.7x9.1%JP¥4.1t
8015 Toyota Tsusho
8.5x6.2%JP¥2.9t
8031 Mitsui
8.2x-4.3%JP¥8.9t
8001 ITOCHU
12.9x5.7%JP¥10.2t
8002 Marubeni
8.6x3.7%JP¥4.1t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8002 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the peer average (10.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8002's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Trade Distributors Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.3%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.3%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8002 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the JP Trade Distributors industry average (9.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8002's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8002 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.6x
Fair PE Ratio20.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8002 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8002 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,460.50
JP¥3,258.18
+32.4%
8.2%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,850.00n/a11
Aug ’25JP¥2,617.50
JP¥3,294.55
+25.9%
9.9%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,700.00n/a11
Jul ’25JP¥2,987.50
JP¥3,244.55
+8.6%
11.6%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,600.00n/a11
Jun ’25JP¥3,060.00
JP¥3,056.36
-0.1%
12.8%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,520.00n/a11
May ’25JP¥2,847.50
JP¥2,830.91
-0.6%
7.9%JP¥3,160.00JP¥2,500.00n/a11
Apr ’25JP¥2,553.50
JP¥2,771.82
+8.5%
7.9%JP¥3,160.00JP¥2,500.00n/a11
Mar ’25JP¥2,505.00
JP¥2,726.36
+8.8%
8.9%JP¥3,160.00JP¥2,350.00n/a11
Feb ’25JP¥2,530.50
JP¥2,696.36
+6.6%
7.7%JP¥3,030.00JP¥2,350.00n/a11
Jan ’25JP¥2,228.50
JP¥2,677.27
+20.1%
7.0%JP¥3,030.00JP¥2,350.00n/a11
Dec ’24JP¥2,369.00
JP¥2,670.91
+12.7%
7.1%JP¥3,030.00JP¥2,330.00n/a11
Nov ’24JP¥2,249.00
JP¥2,589.09
+15.1%
7.4%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,300.00n/a11
Oct ’24JP¥2,332.00
JP¥2,602.73
+11.6%
7.2%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,300.00n/a11
Sep ’24JP¥2,419.50
JP¥2,544.55
+5.2%
9.2%JP¥2,900.00JP¥2,000.00n/a11
Aug ’24JP¥2,508.00
JP¥2,495.45
-0.5%
8.3%JP¥2,860.00JP¥2,000.00JP¥2,617.5011
Jul ’24JP¥2,440.00
JP¥2,359.09
-3.3%
13.9%JP¥2,860.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥2,987.5011
Jun ’24JP¥2,008.00
JP¥2,102.73
+4.7%
10.7%JP¥2,490.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥3,060.0011
May ’24JP¥1,939.50
JP¥2,053.64
+5.9%
9.0%JP¥2,300.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥2,847.5011
Apr ’24JP¥1,795.50
JP¥1,998.00
+11.3%
11.2%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,700.00JP¥2,553.5010
Mar ’24JP¥1,789.00
JP¥1,939.00
+8.4%
13.8%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,505.0010
Feb ’24JP¥1,603.00
JP¥1,833.00
+14.3%
13.2%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,530.5010
Jan ’24JP¥1,515.00
JP¥1,813.00
+19.7%
14.3%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,228.5010
Dec ’23JP¥1,544.50
JP¥1,775.00
+14.9%
14.4%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,369.0010
Nov ’23JP¥1,366.00
JP¥1,754.00
+28.4%
14.0%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,500.00JP¥2,249.0010
Oct ’23JP¥1,268.00
JP¥1,783.33
+40.6%
14.1%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,410.00JP¥2,332.009
Sep ’23JP¥1,390.50
JP¥1,730.00
+24.4%
15.5%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,410.00JP¥2,419.509
Aug ’23JP¥1,272.00
JP¥1,651.11
+29.8%
11.8%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,410.00JP¥2,508.009

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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