With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 13x in Japan, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about ITOCHU Corporation's (TSE:8001) P/E ratio of 12.1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
There hasn't been much to differentiate ITOCHU's and the market's earnings growth lately. It seems that many are expecting the mediocre earnings performance to persist, which has held the P/E back. If this is the case, then at least existing shareholders won't be losing sleep over the current share price.
View our latest analysis for ITOCHU
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like ITOCHU's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 12% last year. EPS has also lifted 12% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 4.0% per year during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 8.6% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's curious that ITOCHU's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From ITOCHU's P/E?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that ITOCHU currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for ITOCHU that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.