Nichiha Corporation (TSE:7943) will pay a dividend of ¥57.00 on the 26th of June. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 3.8%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
See our latest analysis for Nichiha
Nichiha's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. However, prior to this announcement, Nichiha was quite comfortably covering its dividend with earnings and it was paying more than 75% of its free cash flow to shareholders. The business is earning enough to make the dividend feasible, but the cash payout ratio of 79% shows that most of the cash is going back to the shareholders, which could constrain growth prospects going forward.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 21.0%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 55%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥30.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥114.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14% a year over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
Dividend Growth Is Doubtful
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though Nichiha's EPS has declined at around 7.6% a year. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends. Earnings are predicted to grow over the next year, but we would remain cautious until a track record of earnings growth is established.
Our Thoughts On Nichiha's Dividend
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Nichiha's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, but generally we are not too happy with the payments Nichiha has been making. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Nichiha that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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About TSE:7943
Nichiha
Manufactures and markets exterior and interior building products for residential, and commercial and public facilities in Japan, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet established dividend payer.