Earnings Tell The Story For Suzumo Machinery Company Limited (TSE:6405) As Its Stock Soars 25%
The Suzumo Machinery Company Limited (TSE:6405) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 74% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, Suzumo Machinery may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.6x, since almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 13x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Suzumo Machinery certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Suzumo Machinery
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Suzumo Machinery's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 70%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 45% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 18% per annum as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.4% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Suzumo Machinery's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Suzumo Machinery's P/E?
Suzumo Machinery's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Suzumo Machinery's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Suzumo Machinery that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Suzumo Machinery, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:6405
Suzumo Machinery
Manufactures and sells food machines for small kitchens and factories worldwide.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.