The board of Hokuetsu Industries Co., Ltd. (TSE:6364) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥20.00 per share on the 4th of December. The dividend yield will be 2.7% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
View our latest analysis for Hokuetsu Industries
Hokuetsu Industries' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. However, based ont he last payment, Hokuetsu Industries was earning enough to cover the dividend pretty comfortably. However, with more than 75% of free cash flow being paid out to shareholders, future growth could potentially be constrained.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 11.2% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 30% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥15.00 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥57.00. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14% a year over that time. Hokuetsu Industries has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
Hokuetsu Industries Could Grow Its Dividend
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Hokuetsu Industries has impressed us by growing EPS at 7.5% per year over the past five years. Growth in EPS bodes well for the dividend, as does the low payout ratio that the company is currently reporting.
In Summary
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While Hokuetsu Industries is earning enough to cover the dividend, we are generally unimpressed with its future prospects. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Hokuetsu Industries that investors should take into consideration. Is Hokuetsu Industries not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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About TSE:6364
Hokuetsu Industries
Engages in the manufacture and sale of air compressors under the AIRMAN brand in Japan and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.