Stock Analysis

Ebara Corporation Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

TSE:6361
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Ebara Corporation (TSE:6361) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 2.9% to hit JP¥867b. Ebara reported statutory earnings per share (EPS) JP¥155, which was a notable 14% above what the analysts had forecast. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Ebara after the latest results.

View our latest analysis for Ebara

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSE:6361 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 18th 2025

Following the latest results, Ebara's ten analysts are now forecasting revenues of JP¥892.7b in 2025. This would be a reasonable 3.0% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be JP¥153, approximately in line with the last 12 months. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of JP¥887.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥156 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at JP¥3,199. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Ebara analyst has a price target of JP¥4,500 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at JP¥2,600. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Ebara shareholders.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Ebara's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 3.0% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 11% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 4.5% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Ebara is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at JP¥3,199, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Ebara. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Ebara going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You can also see our analysis of Ebara's Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.