Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Shibuya Corporation's (TSE:6340) 26% Share Price Climb

TSE:6340
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Shibuya Corporation (TSE:6340) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 35% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in Japan have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may still consider Shibuya as an attractive investment with its 10.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been advantageous for Shibuya as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Shibuya

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:6340 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 4th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Shibuya's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Shibuya?

Shibuya's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 65%. The latest three year period has also seen a 11% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 8.5% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 9.4% per annum, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Shibuya's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Shibuya's P/E

Despite Shibuya's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Shibuya currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Shibuya that you need to be mindful of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.