Stock Analysis

Is Nomura Micro Science (TSE:6254) Using Too Much Debt?

TSE:6254
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Nomura Micro Science Co., Ltd. (TSE:6254) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

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What Is Nomura Micro Science's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Nomura Micro Science had JP¥19.3b of debt, an increase on JP¥3.42b, over one year. However, it does have JP¥11.6b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about JP¥7.74b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:6254 Debt to Equity History April 30th 2024

A Look At Nomura Micro Science's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Nomura Micro Science had liabilities of JP¥33.9b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥369.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥11.6b as well as receivables valued at JP¥33.9b due within 12 months. So it can boast JP¥11.2b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Nomura Micro Science could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Nomura Micro Science has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.64. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 51.2 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Better yet, Nomura Micro Science grew its EBIT by 159% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nomura Micro Science can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Nomura Micro Science barely recorded positive free cash flow, in total. Some might say that's a concern, when it comes considering how easily it would be for it to down debt.

Our View

Nomura Micro Science's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Nomura Micro Science takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Nomura Micro Science you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.