HIRANO TECSEED Co.,Ltd.'s (TSE:6245) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to ¥42.00 on the 3rd of December. However, the dividend yield of 5.8% is still a decent boost to shareholder returns.
Estimates Indicate HIRANO TECSEEDLtd's Could Struggle to Maintain Dividend Payments In The Future
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, HIRANO TECSEEDLtd's dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings, and the company was also not generating any cash flow to offset this. This is a pretty unsustainable practice, and could be risky if continued for the long term.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 7.4%. If the dividend continues on its recent course, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 158%, which is a bit high and could start applying pressure to the balance sheet.
See our latest analysis for HIRANO TECSEEDLtd
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥10.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥84.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 24% per annum over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. HIRANO TECSEEDLtd's EPS has fallen by approximately 17% per year during the past five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this becomes a long term trend.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 3 warning signs for HIRANO TECSEEDLtd that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is HIRANO TECSEEDLtd not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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