Stock Analysis
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.5x in the Building industry in Japan, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about LIXIL Corporation's (TSE:5938) P/S ratio of 0.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for LIXIL
How LIXIL Has Been Performing
LIXIL hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think LIXIL's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For LIXIL?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, LIXIL would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 5.7% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.7% per year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 3.8% each year, which is not materially different.
With this information, we can see why LIXIL is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've seen that LIXIL maintains an adequate P/S seeing as its revenue growth figures match the rest of the industry. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for LIXIL (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:5938
LIXIL
Through its subsidiaries, operates water technology and housing technology business in Japan and internationally.