Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Toto Ltd. (TSE:5332) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Toto
How Much Debt Does Toto Carry?
As you can see below, Toto had JP¥24.7b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds JP¥81.1b in cash, so it actually has JP¥56.4b net cash.
How Healthy Is Toto's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Toto had liabilities of JP¥205.3b due within 12 months, and liabilities of JP¥57.3b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥81.1b as well as receivables valued at JP¥94.9b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total JP¥86.5b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded Toto shares are worth a total of JP¥833.0b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Toto also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Also good is that Toto grew its EBIT at 13% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Toto can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Toto has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Toto recorded free cash flow of 20% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Summing Up
Although Toto's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of JP¥56.4b. On top of that, it increased its EBIT by 13% in the last twelve months. So we don't have any problem with Toto's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Toto you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSE:5332
Toto
Manufactures and sells bathroom and kitchen plumbing fixtures worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.