Stock Analysis

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Sojitz Corporation (TSE:2768) After Its Annual Results

TSE:2768
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Investors in Sojitz Corporation (TSE:2768) had a good week, as its shares rose 9.9% to close at JP¥4,325 following the release of its full-year results. Sojitz reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of JP¥2.4t and statutory earnings per share of JP¥451, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

View our latest analysis for Sojitz

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TSE:2768 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 3rd 2024

After the latest results, the seven analysts covering Sojitz are now predicting revenues of JP¥2.48t in 2025. If met, this would reflect a modest 2.9% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to accumulate 3.9% to JP¥482. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of JP¥2.43t and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥476 in 2025. So it looks like there's been no major change in sentiment following the latest results, although the analysts have made a modest lift to to revenue forecasts.

Even though revenue forecasts increased, there was no change to the consensus price target of JP¥4,256, suggesting the analysts are focused on earnings as the driver of value creation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Sojitz analyst has a price target of JP¥4,700 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at JP¥4,040. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Sojitz's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 2.9% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 12% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 0.2% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while Sojitz's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Pleasantly, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and their forecasts suggest the business is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at JP¥4,256, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Sojitz analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Sojitz (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Sojitz is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.