Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Kinden (TSE:1944) Is Using Debt Safely

TSE:1944
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Kinden Corporation (TSE:1944) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Kinden

What Is Kinden's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Kinden had JP¥15.0b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But it also has JP¥200.9b in cash to offset that, meaning it has JP¥185.9b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:1944 Debt to Equity History June 25th 2024

How Healthy Is Kinden's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kinden had liabilities of JP¥205.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of JP¥36.5b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had JP¥200.9b in cash and JP¥248.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has JP¥207.8b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus strongly suggests that Kinden has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, Kinden boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

And we also note warmly that Kinden grew its EBIT by 14% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kinden's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Kinden has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Kinden recorded free cash flow of 34% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Kinden has net cash of JP¥185.9b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. On top of that, it increased its EBIT by 14% in the last twelve months. So we don't think Kinden's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Kinden you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.