Stock Analysis

Kinden Corporation (TSE:1944) First-Quarter Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

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TSE:1944

The quarterly results for Kinden Corporation (TSE:1944) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. Results overall were respectable, with statutory earnings of JP¥165 per share roughly in line with what the analysts had forecast. Revenues of JP¥133b came in 3.1% ahead of analyst predictions. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Kinden

TSE:1944 Earnings and Revenue Growth August 3rd 2024

Following last week's earnings report, Kinden's five analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be JP¥668.3b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 7.5% to JP¥186. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of JP¥665.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥185 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of JP¥3,106, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Kinden analyst has a price target of JP¥3,700 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at JP¥2,200. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 1.3% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 3.0% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 2.5% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Kinden is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Kinden's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at JP¥3,106, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Kinden going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Kinden , and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kinden might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.