Stock Analysis

It's Down 26% But West Holdings Corporation (TSE:1407) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

TSE:1407
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West Holdings Corporation (TSE:1407) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 37% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about West Holdings' P/E ratio of 12.4x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Japan is also close to 13x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, West Holdings has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for West Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TSE:1407 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 6th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think West Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is West Holdings' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like West Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 13% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 6.7% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 21% per year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 9.8% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that West Holdings' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for West Holdings looks quite average now. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of West Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for West Holdings (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than West Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if West Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.