Stock Analysis

Is Suzumo Machinery Company Limited (TYO:6405) An Attractive Dividend Stock?

TSE:6405
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Dividend paying stocks like Suzumo Machinery Company Limited (TYO:6405) tend to be popular with investors, and for good reason - some research suggests a significant amount of all stock market returns come from reinvested dividends. If you are hoping to live on the income from dividends, it's important to be a lot more stringent with your investments than the average punter.

A slim 1.3% yield is hard to get excited about, but the long payment history is respectable. At the right price, or with strong growth opportunities, Suzumo Machinery could have potential. The company also bought back stock equivalent to around 1.2% of market capitalisation this year. Some simple research can reduce the risk of buying Suzumo Machinery for its dividend - read on to learn more.

Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

historic-dividend
JASDAQ:6405 Historic Dividend February 10th 2021

Payout ratios

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. Suzumo Machinery paid out 47% of its profit as dividends, over the trailing twelve month period. This is a middling range that strikes a nice balance between paying dividends to shareholders, and retaining enough earnings to invest in future growth. One of the risks is that management reinvests the retained capital poorly instead of paying a higher dividend.

Another important check we do is to see if the free cash flow generated is sufficient to pay the dividend. Last year, Suzumo Machinery paid a dividend while reporting negative free cash flow. While there may be an explanation, we think this behaviour is generally not sustainable.

While the above analysis focuses on dividends relative to a company's earnings, we do note Suzumo Machinery's strong net cash position, which will let it pay larger dividends for a time, should it choose.

Consider getting our latest analysis on Suzumo Machinery's financial position here.

Dividend Volatility

One of the major risks of relying on dividend income, is the potential for a company to struggle financially and cut its dividend. Not only is your income cut, but the value of your investment declines as well - nasty. Suzumo Machinery has been paying dividends for a long time, but for the purpose of this analysis, we only examine the past 10 years of payments. During this period the dividend has been stable, which could imply the business could have relatively consistent earnings power. During the past 10-year period, the first annual payment was JP¥12.5 in 2011, compared to JP¥20.0 last year. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.8% a year over that time.

Dividends have grown relatively slowly, which is not great, but some investors may value the relative consistency of the dividend.

Dividend Growth Potential

Dividend payments have been consistent over the past few years, but we should always check if earnings per share (EPS) are growing, as this will help maintain the purchasing power of the dividend. Suzumo Machinery's EPS have fallen by approximately 18% per year during the past five years. With this kind of significant decline, we always wonder what has changed in the business. Dividends are about stability, and Suzumo Machinery's earnings per share, which support the dividend, have been anything but stable.

Conclusion

To summarise, shareholders should always check that Suzumo Machinery's dividends are affordable, that its dividend payments are relatively stable, and that it has decent prospects for growing its earnings and dividend. First, we like Suzumo Machinery's low dividend payout ratio, although we're a bit concerned that it paid out a substantially higher percentage of its free cash flow. It's not great to see earnings per share shrinking. The dividends have been relatively consistent, but we wonder for how much longer this will be true. While we're not hugely bearish on it, overall we think there are potentially better dividend stocks than Suzumo Machinery out there.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Suzumo Machinery that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock.

We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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