Stock Analysis

Odawara Engineering (TYO:6149) Has Rewarded Shareholders With An Exceptional 359% Total Return On Their Investment

TSE:6149
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For many, the main point of investing in the stock market is to achieve spectacular returns. And highest quality companies can see their share prices grow by huge amounts. Don't believe it? Then look at the Odawara Engineering Co., Ltd. (TYO:6149) share price. It's 314% higher than it was five years ago. This just goes to show the value creation that some businesses can achieve. It's also up 35% in about a month. We note that Odawara Engineering reported its financial results recently; luckily, you can catch up on the latest revenue and profit numbers in our company report.

See our latest analysis for Odawara Engineering

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During five years of share price growth, Odawara Engineering achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 13% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 33% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
JASDAQ:6149 Earnings Per Share Growth November 24th 2020

We know that Odawara Engineering has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Odawara Engineering will grow revenue in the future.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Odawara Engineering, it has a TSR of 359% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Odawara Engineering shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 6.5% over one year. And that does include the dividend. However, that falls short of the 36% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Odawara Engineering .

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on JP exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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