Stock Analysis

Here's Why Sumitomo Rubber Industries (TSE:5110) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TSE:5110
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Sumitomo Rubber Industries, Ltd. (TSE:5110) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Sumitomo Rubber Industries

How Much Debt Does Sumitomo Rubber Industries Carry?

As you can see below, Sumitomo Rubber Industries had JP¥256.0b of debt at March 2024, down from JP¥326.4b a year prior. However, it also had JP¥85.4b in cash, and so its net debt is JP¥170.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSE:5110 Debt to Equity History July 31st 2024

A Look At Sumitomo Rubber Industries' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Sumitomo Rubber Industries had liabilities of JP¥327.5b due within a year, and liabilities of JP¥299.0b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of JP¥85.4b as well as receivables valued at JP¥217.8b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by JP¥323.4b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of JP¥417.4b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Sumitomo Rubber Industries has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.0. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. Better yet, Sumitomo Rubber Industries grew its EBIT by 561% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sumitomo Rubber Industries can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Sumitomo Rubber Industries's free cash flow amounted to 33% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Both Sumitomo Rubber Industries's ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. Having said that, its level of total liabilities somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. Considering this range of data points, we think Sumitomo Rubber Industries is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Sumitomo Rubber Industries that you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.