What underlying fundamental trends can indicate that a company might be in decline? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This reveals that the company isn't compounding shareholder wealth because returns are falling and its net asset base is shrinking. Having said that, after a brief look, Yutaka GikenLtd (TYO:7229) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Yutaka GikenLtd, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.013 = JP¥1.2b ÷ (JP¥169b - JP¥80b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Therefore, Yutaka GikenLtd has an ROCE of 1.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Auto Components industry average of 4.1%.
View our latest analysis for Yutaka GikenLtd
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Yutaka GikenLtd has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Yutaka GikenLtd. To be more specific, the ROCE was 14% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Yutaka GikenLtd to turn into a multi-bagger.
On a side note, Yutaka GikenLtd's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 47% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. If current liabilities hadn't increased as much as they did, the ROCE could actually be even lower. And with current liabilities at these levels, suppliers or short-term creditors are effectively funding a large part of the business, which can introduce some risks.What We Can Learn From Yutaka GikenLtd's ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 20% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
Yutaka GikenLtd does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
While Yutaka GikenLtd isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSE:7229
Yutaka GikenLtd
Manufactures and sells automobile parts in Japan, North America, China, Asia, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.