When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in trouble. Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. In light of that, from a first glance at ENAV (BIT:ENAV), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for ENAV, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.057 = €95m ÷ (€1.9b - €272m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Thus, ENAV has an ROCE of 5.7%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Infrastructure industry average of 7.3%.
Check out our latest analysis for ENAV
In the above chart we have measured ENAV's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering ENAV here for free.
The Trend Of ROCE
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at ENAV. About five years ago, returns on capital were 7.3%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on ENAV becoming one if things continue as they have.
What We Can Learn From ENAV's ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. In spite of that, the stock has delivered a 14% return to shareholders who held over the last three years. Regardless, we don't like the trends as they are and if they persist, we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
One more thing to note, we've identified 2 warning signs with ENAV and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
While ENAV isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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About BIT:ENAV
ENAV
Provides air traffic control and management, and other air navigation services in Italy, the rest of Europe, and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.