Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Reply (BIT:REY) Is Using Debt Safely

BIT:REY
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Reply S.p.A. (BIT:REY) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Reply

What Is Reply's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Reply had debt of €98.6m, up from €92.2m in one year. But on the other hand it also has €321.4m in cash, leading to a €222.8m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BIT:REY Debt to Equity History September 3rd 2023

How Healthy Is Reply's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Reply had liabilities of €732.2m due within a year, and liabilities of €372.6m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €321.4m and €557.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €225.5m.

Given Reply has a market capitalization of €3.49b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Reply boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

On top of that, Reply grew its EBIT by 31% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Reply can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Reply has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Reply recorded free cash flow worth 78% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Reply's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of €222.8m. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 31% over the last year. So we don't think Reply's use of debt is risky. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Reply's earnings per share history for free.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.