Investors Don't See Light At End Of Growens S.p.A.'s (BIT:GROW) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 27%
The Growens S.p.A. (BIT:GROW) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 36% share price drop.
Since its price has dipped substantially, considering around half the companies operating in Italy's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.4x, you may consider Growens as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Growens
How Has Growens Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Growens has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Growens' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Growens' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 14% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 3.4% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 17% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why Growens is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What Does Growens' P/S Mean For Investors?
Growens' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Growens maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Growens (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BIT:GROW
Growens
Engages in the cloud marketing technology business in Italy, other European countries, the Americas, and Asia.
Fair value with mediocre balance sheet.
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