What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating Cyberoo (BIT:CYB), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Cyberoo:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.027 = €416k ÷ (€20m - €4.6m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).
Therefore, Cyberoo has an ROCE of 2.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the IT industry average of 13%.
In the above chart we have measured Cyberoo's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of Cyberoo's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around three years ago the returns on capital were 10.0%, but since then they've fallen to 2.7%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 23%, which has impacted the ROCE. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 2.7%. While the ratio isn't currently too high, it's worth keeping an eye on this because if it gets particularly high, the business could then face some new elements of risk.
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Cyberoo is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 20% to shareholders over the last year. So while investors seem to be recognizing these promising trends, we would look further into this stock to make sure the other metrics justify the positive view.
One final note, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Cyberoo (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .
While Cyberoo isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.