Amazon.com Valuation

Is 1AMZN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1AMZN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1AMZN (€172.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€231.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1AMZN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1AMZN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

1AMZN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA20.7x
PEG Ratio2.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1AMZN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1AMZN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.3x
BABA Alibaba Group Holding
14.3x10.4%US$195.5b
PDD PDD Holdings
23.5x22.9%US$191.0b
PRX Prosus
8.4x-14.9%€82.4b
WES Wesfarmers
30.9x8.9%AU$77.5b
1AMZN Amazon.com
51.4x21.4%€1.9t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1AMZN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.4x) compared to the peer average (19.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1AMZN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-5.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-5.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1AMZN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.4x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (21.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1AMZN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1AMZN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio51.4x
Fair PE Ratio45.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1AMZN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (51.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (45.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1AMZN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€172.90
€201.40
+16.5%
6.3%€227.58€167.20n/a55
Apr ’25€166.52
€192.43
+15.6%
6.5%€214.13€139.65n/a56
Mar ’25€164.28
€188.45
+14.7%
8.2%€212.54€138.62n/a56
Feb ’25€145.10
€170.12
+17.2%
9.0%€212.36€138.50n/a52
Jan ’25€136.88
€160.92
+17.6%
10.2%€208.84€124.21n/a53
Dec ’24€134.86
€159.94
+18.6%
9.9%€211.49€125.79n/a52
Nov ’24€128.66
€163.19
+26.8%
10.1%€217.67€128.71n/a51
Oct ’24€120.92
€159.88
+32.2%
10.6%€215.37€126.41n/a49
Sep ’24€127.48
€155.63
+22.1%
11.2%€210.61€118.95n/a51
Aug ’24€120.76
€133.86
+10.8%
13.1%€200.07€90.03n/a52
Jul ’24€119.28
€130.98
+9.8%
13.5%€201.56€82.46n/a51
Jun ’24€113.40
€128.97
+13.7%
13.8%€205.06€83.89n/a47
May ’24€95.31
€126.44
+32.7%
14.3%€200.53€82.04€169.4048
Apr ’24€94.83
€129.27
+36.3%
14.4%€206.29€84.39€166.5249
Mar ’24€86.63
€128.95
+48.9%
13.9%€196.52€84.22€164.2849
Feb ’24€93.30
€123.65
+32.5%
15.6%€191.16€72.82€145.1048
Jan ’24€77.47
€133.10
+71.8%
17.7%€235.90€75.49€136.8848
Dec ’23€91.79
€136.56
+48.8%
16.6%€237.50€97.85€134.8647
Nov ’23€98.40
€146.57
+49.0%
19.0%€250.90€80.29€128.6648
Oct ’23€118.78
€178.08
+49.9%
14.5%€277.34€112.99€120.9249
Sep ’23€124.78
€174.30
+39.7%
14.7%€270.92€110.37€127.4850
Aug ’23€134.10
€170.57
+27.2%
14.5%€263.25€107.25€120.7651
Jul ’23€104.06
€168.44
+61.9%
15.7%€258.55€102.46€119.2849
Jun ’23€113.90
€169.24
+48.6%
12.1%€218.46€105.59€113.4049
May ’23€120.55
€176.64
+46.5%
10.9%€220.69€106.67€95.3149

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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