Stock Analysis

Are Garofalo Health Care's (BIT:GHC) Statutory Earnings A Good Reflection Of Its Earnings Potential?

BIT:GHC
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Many investors consider it preferable to invest in profitable companies over unprofitable ones, because profitability suggests a business is sustainable. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. This article will consider whether Garofalo Health Care's (BIT:GHC) statutory profits are a good guide to its underlying earnings.

We like the fact that Garofalo Health Care made a profit of €5.50m on its revenue of €192.9m, in the last year. As you can see in the chart below, its profit has declined over the last three years, even though its revenue has increased.

View our latest analysis for Garofalo Health Care

earnings-and-revenue-history
BIT:GHC Earnings and Revenue History January 4th 2021

Of course, it is only sensible to look beyond the statutory profits and question how well those numbers represent the sustainable earnings power of the business. This article will focus on the impact unusual items have had on Garofalo Health Care's statutory earnings. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

To properly understand Garofalo Health Care's profit results, we need to consider the €4.4m expense attributed to unusual items. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. If Garofalo Health Care doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Garofalo Health Care's Profit Performance

Because unusual items detracted from Garofalo Health Care's earnings over the last year, you could argue that we can expect an improved result in the current quarter. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Garofalo Health Care's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 3 warning signs with Garofalo Health Care, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Garofalo Health Care's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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