While Salvatore Ferragamo S.p.A. (BIT:SFER) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the BIT over the last few months, increasing to €19.47 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €16.45. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Salvatore Ferragamo's current trading price of €17.69 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Salvatore Ferragamo’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
View our latest analysis for Salvatore Ferragamo
What's the opportunity in Salvatore Ferragamo?
Salvatore Ferragamo appears to be overvalued by 37% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at €17.69 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of €12.95. This means that the opportunity to buy Salvatore Ferragamo at a good price has disappeared! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that Salvatore Ferragamo’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What kind of growth will Salvatore Ferragamo generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Salvatore Ferragamo. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? SFER’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe SFER should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on SFER for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for SFER, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Salvatore Ferragamo you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About BIT:SFER
Salvatore Ferragamo
Through its subsidiaries, creates, produces, and sells luxury goods for men and women in Europe, North America, Japan, the Asia Pacific, and Central and South America.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.