Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For G.M. Leather (BIT:GML)

BIT:GML
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If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating G.M. Leather (BIT:GML), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for G.M. Leather:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.15 = €3.9m ÷ (€54m - €27m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

So, G.M. Leather has an ROCE of 15%. That's a pretty standard return and it's in line with the industry average of 15%.

View our latest analysis for G.M. Leather

roce
BIT:GML Return on Capital Employed June 13th 2024

In the above chart we have measured G.M. Leather's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for G.M. Leather .

How Are Returns Trending?

In terms of G.M. Leather's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around three years ago the returns on capital were 22%, but since then they've fallen to 15%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

On a separate but related note, it's important to know that G.M. Leather has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 50%, which we'd consider pretty high. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

The Bottom Line On G.M. Leather's ROCE

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by G.M. Leather's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And in the last year, the stock has given away 18% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

If you'd like to know more about G.M. Leather, we've spotted 5 warning signs, and 4 of them are significant.

While G.M. Leather may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether G.M. Leather is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.