Stock Analysis

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A. (BIT:BC)?

BIT:BC
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Brunello Cucinelli (BIT:BC) has had a rough three months with its share price down 6.4%. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Brunello Cucinelli's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Brunello Cucinelli

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Brunello Cucinelli is:

27% = €123m ÷ €449m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every €1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of €0.27.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Brunello Cucinelli's Earnings Growth And 27% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that Brunello Cucinelli has a significantly high ROE. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 12% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. As a result, Brunello Cucinelli's exceptional 36% net income growth seen over the past five years, doesn't come as a surprise.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Brunello Cucinelli's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 30% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
BIT:BC Past Earnings Growth September 17th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Brunello Cucinelli's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Brunello Cucinelli Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 50% (implying that it keeps only 50% of profits) for Brunello Cucinelli suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of the earnings to its shareholders.

Additionally, Brunello Cucinelli has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 53%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 26%.

Summary

Overall, we are quite pleased with Brunello Cucinelli's performance. We are particularly impressed by the considerable earnings growth posted by the company, which was likely backed by its high ROE. While the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends, it has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's probably a good sign. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Brunello Cucinelli might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.