Brunello Cucinelli Valuation

Is BC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BC (€103.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€30.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA22.5x
PEG Ratio4.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.5x
MONC Moncler
30.3x8.7%€18.5b
SFER Salvatore Ferragamo
71.6x26.6%€1.9b
OVS OVS
15.9x20.3%€600.3m
FPE Fope
12.3x7.8%€143.6m
BC Brunello Cucinelli
61.3x12.6%€7.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (61.3x) compared to the peer average (32.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (61.3x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (15.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio61.3x
Fair PE Ratio26.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (61.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€103.40
€113.20
+9.5%
9.4%€133.00€95.00n/a10
Mar ’25€112.80
€99.59
-11.7%
12.9%€123.00€82.00n/a10
Feb ’25€92.70
€95.19
+2.7%
8.0%€112.00€82.00n/a10
Jan ’25€88.60
€91.75
+3.6%
5.8%€101.00€82.00n/a10
Dec ’24€75.40
€87.16
+15.6%
7.1%€98.00€79.00n/a9
Nov ’24€75.25
€88.44
+17.5%
8.0%€101.00€79.00n/a10
Oct ’24€72.05
€88.54
+22.9%
7.4%€101.00€82.00n/a10
Sep ’24€75.45
€87.34
+15.8%
10.2%€101.00€70.00n/a10
Aug ’24€75.05
€87.64
+16.8%
11.0%€105.00€70.00n/a10
Jul ’24€80.60
€84.72
+5.1%
13.3%€105.00€70.00n/a10
Jun ’24€80.10
€84.72
+5.8%
13.3%€105.00€70.00n/a10
May ’24€86.70
€83.22
-4.0%
15.3%€105.00€65.00n/a10
Apr ’24€91.45
€72.12
-21.1%
17.4%€101.00€58.10n/a10
Mar ’24€80.30
€66.52
-17.2%
12.6%€81.00€53.00€112.8010
Feb ’24€76.35
€66.22
-13.3%
12.8%€81.00€53.00€92.7010
Jan ’24€69.10
€59.51
-13.9%
17.8%€80.00€48.00€88.6010
Dec ’23€65.95
€54.24
-17.8%
16.4%€72.00€37.00€75.4010
Nov ’23€58.85
€53.24
-9.5%
13.7%€62.00€37.00€75.2510
Oct ’23€50.05
€50.85
+1.6%
14.9%€62.00€34.00€72.0510
Sep ’23€51.10
€50.59
-1.0%
16.0%€62.10€34.00€75.4510
Aug ’23€56.80
€47.76
-15.9%
15.6%€60.00€32.00€75.0510
Jul ’23€42.08
€47.36
+12.5%
22.1%€60.00€28.00€80.6010
Jun ’23€46.72
€48.86
+4.6%
22.3%€60.00€28.00€80.1010
May ’23€49.26
€48.86
-0.8%
22.3%€60.00€28.00€86.7010
Apr ’23€52.65
€48.94
-7.0%
23.1%€62.60€28.00€91.4510
Mar ’23€46.62
€49.73
+6.7%
23.3%€62.60€27.00€80.3010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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