Moncler Valuation

Is MONC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MONC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MONC (€53.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€40.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MONC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MONC?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MONC key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.6x
PEG Ratio2.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MONC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MONC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average53.2x
BC Brunello Cucinelli
56.4x14.1%€6.4b
SFER Salvatore Ferragamo
119.8x37.3%€1.1b
OVS OVS
13.7x14.1%€704.5m
FPE Fope
23x29.1%€139.3m
MONC Moncler
22.5x7.9%€14.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MONC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x) compared to the peer average (53.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MONC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MONC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (15x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MONC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MONC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.5x
Fair PE Ratio22.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MONC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MONC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€53.80
€61.27
+13.9%
12.5%€75.00€47.50n/a23
Sep ’25€55.42
€66.00
+19.1%
10.1%€79.00€47.50n/a23
Aug ’25€53.92
€66.04
+22.5%
10.0%€79.00€47.50n/a23
Jul ’25€57.48
€67.82
+18.0%
10.4%€79.00€47.50n/a23
Jun ’25€61.24
€69.86
+14.1%
9.6%€81.00€47.50n/a23
May ’25€64.12
€69.86
+9.0%
9.6%€81.00€47.50n/a23
Apr ’25€69.18
€67.36
-2.6%
10.3%€81.00€47.50n/a23
Mar ’25€67.46
€65.74
-2.5%
10.1%€76.00€47.50n/a24
Feb ’25€57.16
€61.81
+8.1%
9.4%€70.00€47.50n/a25
Jan ’25€55.70
€63.21
+13.5%
11.2%€78.00€47.50n/a25
Dec ’24€50.68
€63.73
+25.7%
10.8%€78.00€47.50n/a25
Nov ’24€49.55
€64.41
+30.0%
11.0%€78.00€47.50n/a25
Oct ’24€55.08
€68.56
+24.5%
10.0%€78.00€47.50€55.0825
Sep ’24€62.62
€70.82
+13.1%
11.7%€80.00€47.50€55.4224
Aug ’24€63.90
€70.28
+10.0%
13.7%€80.00€45.00€53.9224
Jul ’24€63.34
€69.55
+9.8%
13.9%€80.00€45.00€57.4824
Jun ’24€61.88
€69.73
+12.7%
13.9%€80.00€45.00€61.2424
May ’24€67.16
€65.74
-2.1%
13.2%€80.00€41.50€64.1224
Apr ’24€63.54
€62.86
-1.1%
12.2%€75.00€41.50€69.1824
Mar ’24€59.70
€61.57
+3.1%
11.4%€70.00€41.50€67.4625
Feb ’24€57.06
€58.32
+2.2%
11.0%€70.00€41.50€57.1625
Jan ’24€49.50
€57.18
+15.5%
11.4%€70.00€41.50€55.7025
Dec ’23€49.88
€57.18
+14.6%
12.2%€70.00€37.50€50.6825
Nov ’23€44.18
€57.80
+30.8%
12.4%€70.00€37.50€49.5526
Oct ’23€42.39
€58.50
+38.0%
13.1%€70.00€37.50€55.0826

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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