Before Investing In Aeffe S.p.A. (BIT:AEF), Consider This

Two important questions to ask before you buy Aeffe S.p.A. (BIT:AEF) is, how it makes money and how it spends its cash. After investment, what’s left over is what belongs to you, the investor. This also determines how much the stock is worth. I’ve analysed below, the health and outlook of Aeffe’s cash flow, which will help you understand the stock from a cash standpoint. Cash is an important concept to grasp as an investor, as it directly impacts the value of your shares and the future growth potential of your portfolio.

View our latest analysis for Aeffe

What is free cash flow?

Aeffe’s free cash flow (FCF) is the level of cash flow the business generates from its operational activities, after it reinvests in the company as capital expenditure. This type of expense is needed for Aeffe to continue to grow, or at least, maintain its current operations.

There are two methods I will use to evaluate the quality of Aeffe’s FCF: firstly, I will measure its FCF yield relative to the market index yield; secondly, I will examine whether its operating cash flow will continue to grow into the future, which will give us a sense of sustainability.

Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flows – Net Capital Expenditure

Free Cash Flow Yield = Free Cash Flow / Enterprise Value

where Enterprise Value = Market Capitalisation + Net Debt

Aeffe’s yield of 5.96% last year indicates its ability to produce cash at the same rate as the market index, taking into account the company’s size. However, given that the risk for holding single-stock Aeffe is higher, this may mean inadequate compensation above and beyond merely investing in the whole market.

BIT:AEF Balance Sheet Net Worth, March 15th 2019
BIT:AEF Balance Sheet Net Worth, March 15th 2019

Does Aeffe have a favourable cash flow trend?

Another important consideration is whether this return is likely to be maintained over the next couple of years. We can gauge this by looking at Aeffe’s expected operating cash flows. Over the next two years, Aeffe’s operating cash flows is expected to grow by 5.7%, which is encouraging, should capital expenditure levels maintain at an appropriate level. Below is a table of Aeffe’s operating cash flow in the past year, as well as the anticipated level going forward.
Current +1 year +2 year
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) €26m €23m €27m
OCF Growth Year-On-Year -8.3% 15%
OCF Growth From Current Year 5.7%

Next Steps:

The yield you receive on Aeffe is in-line with that of holding the broader market index. However, you are taking on more risk by holding a single-stock rather than the well-diversified market index. This means, in terms of risk and return, it’s not the best deal. Keep in mind that cash is only one aspect of investment analysis and there are other important fundamentals to assess. You should continue to research Aeffe to get a better picture of the company by looking at:

  1. Valuation: What is AEF worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether AEF is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Aeffe’s board and the CEO’s back ground.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: If you believe you should cushion your portfolio with something less risky, scroll through our free list of these great stocks here.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.