adidas Valuation

Is 1ADS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1ADS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1ADS (€225.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€292.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1ADS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1ADS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

1ADS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA50x
PEG Ratio11.5x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1ADS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1ADS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.3x
MONC Moncler
5.8x8.8%€17.3b
BC Brunello Cucinelli
5.7x10.2%€6.5b
SFER Salvatore Ferragamo
1.3x3.8%€1.5b
OVS OVS
0.4x3.3%€624.1m
1ADS adidas
1.9x7.8%€40.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1ADS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (3.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1ADS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IT Luxury Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1ADS is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the Italian Luxury industry average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1ADS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1ADS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.9x
Fair PS Ratio3.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1ADS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1ADS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€224.00
€222.04
-0.9%
13.5%€276.00€150.00n/a28
Apr ’25€207.10
€196.86
-4.9%
15.6%€230.00€95.00n/a28
Mar ’25€187.12
€185.29
-1.0%
16.3%€230.00€95.00n/a29
Feb ’25€172.44
€186.32
+8.1%
16.2%€230.00€95.00n/a29
Jan ’25€184.28
€186.88
+1.4%
16.2%€230.00€100.00n/a30
Dec ’24€194.42
€183.88
-5.4%
15.3%€220.00€100.00n/a30
Nov ’24€167.00
€183.28
+9.7%
17.8%€235.00€90.00n/a30
Oct ’24€167.02
€183.29
+9.7%
18.2%€235.00€90.00n/a29
Sep ’24€184.62
€181.01
-2.0%
18.7%€235.00€90.00n/a30
Aug ’24€188.48
€175.05
-7.1%
19.3%€225.00€85.00n/a29
Jul ’24€178.02
€162.98
-8.4%
19.4%€216.00€85.00n/a28
Jun ’24€150.58
€156.45
+3.9%
20.6%€206.50€75.66n/a30
May ’24€159.88
€147.31
-7.9%
20.7%€200.00€75.00€225.6029
Apr ’24€160.00
€143.97
-10.0%
19.7%€196.00€75.00€207.1029
Mar ’24€140.30
€135.47
-3.4%
22.2%€206.40€70.00€187.1230
Feb ’24€147.90
€138.11
-6.6%
20.4%€195.00€75.66€172.4431
Jan ’24€128.50
€133.63
+4.0%
22.0%€195.00€75.66€184.2831
Dec ’23€124.26
€133.21
+7.2%
22.2%€195.00€75.66€194.4231
Nov ’23€98.77
€132.25
+33.9%
31.0%€270.90€87.00€167.0030
Oct ’23€119.10
€195.07
+63.8%
24.8%€340.00€120.00€167.0230
Sep ’23€145.76
€203.00
+39.3%
23.1%€340.00€120.00€184.6230
Aug ’23€172.40
€210.34
+22.0%
25.7%€340.00€120.00€188.4831
Jul ’23€168.38
€251.52
+49.4%
20.8%€348.00€135.78€178.0231
Jun ’23€182.08
€257.81
+41.6%
19.8%€348.00€135.78€150.5831
May ’23€192.46
€279.68
+45.3%
17.1%€350.00€135.78€159.8831

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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