adidas Valuation

Is 1ADS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1ADS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1ADS (€210.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€227.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1ADS is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1ADS?

Key metric: As 1ADS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1ADS. This is calculated by dividing 1ADS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1ADS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio98.9x
Earnings€381.00m
Market Cap€37.69b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1ADS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1ADS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average45.5x
MONC Moncler
19.5x6.9%€12.6b
BC Brunello Cucinelli
52.6x13.8%€6.0b
SFER Salvatore Ferragamo
97.3x36.8%€906.3m
OVS OVS
12.7x14.1%€656.2m
1ADS adidas
98.9x38.1%€37.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1ADS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (98.9x) compared to the peer average (45.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1ADS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1ADS 98.9xIndustry Avg. 14.1xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1ADS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (98.9x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1ADS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1ADS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio98.9x
Fair PE Ratio48.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1ADS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (98.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1ADS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€210.90
€249.73
+18.4%
12.2%€285.00€160.00n/a28
Nov ’25€222.60
€249.73
+12.2%
12.2%€285.00€160.00n/a28
Oct ’25€232.90
€241.33
+3.6%
14.9%€300.00€160.00n/a29
Sep ’25€232.50
€237.77
+2.3%
15.1%€300.00€160.00n/a28
Aug ’25€225.70
€235.65
+4.4%
15.7%€300.00€160.00n/a28
Jul ’25€219.80
€224.08
+1.9%
13.5%€264.00€150.00n/a28
Jun ’25€230.30
€223.65
-2.9%
13.5%€276.00€150.00n/a28
May ’25€225.60
€222.86
-1.2%
13.5%€276.00€150.00n/a28
Apr ’25€207.10
€196.86
-4.9%
15.6%€230.00€95.00n/a28
Mar ’25€187.12
€185.29
-1.0%
16.3%€230.00€95.00n/a29
Feb ’25€172.44
€186.32
+8.1%
16.2%€230.00€95.00n/a29
Jan ’25€184.28
€186.88
+1.4%
16.2%€230.00€100.00n/a30
Dec ’24€194.42
€183.88
-5.4%
15.3%€220.00€100.00n/a30
Nov ’24€167.00
€183.28
+9.7%
17.8%€235.00€90.00€222.6030
Oct ’24€167.02
€183.29
+9.7%
18.2%€235.00€90.00€232.9029
Sep ’24€184.62
€181.01
-2.0%
18.7%€235.00€90.00€232.5030
Aug ’24€188.48
€175.05
-7.1%
19.3%€225.00€85.00€225.7029
Jul ’24€178.02
€162.98
-8.4%
19.4%€216.00€85.00€219.8028
Jun ’24€150.58
€156.45
+3.9%
20.6%€206.50€75.66€230.3030
May ’24€159.88
€147.31
-7.9%
20.7%€200.00€75.00€225.6029
Apr ’24€160.00
€143.97
-10.0%
19.7%€196.00€75.00€207.1029
Mar ’24€140.30
€135.47
-3.4%
22.2%€206.40€70.00€187.1230
Feb ’24€147.90
€138.11
-6.6%
20.4%€195.00€75.66€172.4431
Jan ’24€128.50
€133.63
+4.0%
22.0%€195.00€75.66€184.2831
Dec ’23€124.26
€133.21
+7.2%
22.2%€195.00€75.66€194.4231
Nov ’23€98.77
€132.25
+33.9%
31.0%€270.90€87.00€167.0030

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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