Stock Analysis

Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Agatos S.p.A. (BIT:AGA) Following 26% Share Price Slump

BIT:AGA
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Agatos S.p.A. (BIT:AGA) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 65% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, when close to half the companies operating in Italy's Construction industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.8x, you may consider Agatos as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Agatos

ps-multiple-vs-industry
BIT:AGA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 19th 2023

How Has Agatos Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Agatos as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Agatos' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Agatos' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Agatos' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 266% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of explosive growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 41% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 17% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it odd that Agatos is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Agatos' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

A look at Agatos' revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for Agatos (4 are significant!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Agatos' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Agatos is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.