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Agatos

BIT:AGA
Snowflake Description

Imperfect balance sheet and overvalued.

The Snowflake is generated from 30 checks in 5 different areas, read more below.
AGA
BIT
€8M
Market Cap
  1. Home
  2. IT
  3. Capital Goods
Company description

Agatos S.p.A. operates as an engineering, procurement, and construction company. The last earnings update was 271 days ago. More info.


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  • Agatos has significant price volatility in the past 3 months.
AGA Share Price and Events
7 Day Returns
1.3%
BIT:AGA
-1.9%
IT Construction
-0.4%
IT Market
1 Year Returns
-50.2%
BIT:AGA
-26.5%
IT Construction
-3.1%
IT Market
AGA Shareholder Return
  7 Day 30 Day 90 Day 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Agatos (AGA) 1.3% -9.5% -18.3% -50.2% - -
IT Construction -1.9% 3.5% -14.3% -26.5% -26.9% -59.8%
IT Market -0.4% 2.5% -1.6% -3.1% 8.3% -36.7%
1 Year Return vs Industry and Market
  • AGA underperformed the Construction industry which returned -26.5% over the past year.
  • AGA underperformed the Market in Italy which returned -3.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
AGA
Industry
5yr Volatility vs Market

Value

 Is Agatos undervalued based on future cash flows and its price relative to the stock market?

Value is all about what a company is worth versus what price it is available for. If you went into a grocery store and all the bananas were on sale at half price, they could be considered undervalued.
INTRINSIC VALUE BASED ON FUTURE CASH FLOWS
  • It is not possible to calculate the future cash flow value for Agatos. This is due to cash flow or dividend data being unavailable. The share price is €0.1185.
PRICE RELATIVE TO MARKET
We can also value a company based on what the stock market is willing to pay for it. This is similar to the price of fruit (e.g. Mangoes or Avocados) increasing when they are out of season, or how much your home is worth.

The amount the stock market is willing to pay for Agatos's earnings, growth and assets is considered below, and whether this is a fair price.
Price based on past earnings
Are Agatos's earnings available for a low price, and how does this compare to other companies in the same industry?
Raw Data
BIT:AGA PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Earnings Per Share * Company Filings (2018-06-30) in EUR €-0.05
BIT:AGA Share Price ** BIT (2019-06-25) in EUR €0.12
Europe Construction Industry PE Ratio Median Figure of 93 Publicly-Listed Construction Companies 10.8x
Italy Market PE Ratio Median Figure of 239 Publicly-Listed Companies 15.7x

* Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual GAAP earnings per share excluding extraordinary items.

** Primary Listing of Agatos.

BIT:AGA PE (Price to Earnings) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PE Ratio

= BIT:AGA Share Price ÷ EPS (both in EUR)

= 0.12 ÷ -0.05

-2.43x

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Agatos is loss making, we can't compare its value to the Europe Construction industry average.
  • Agatos is loss making, we can't compare the value of its earnings to the Italy market.
Price based on expected Growth
Does Agatos's expected growth come at a high price?
Raw Data
BIT:AGA PEG (Price to Earnings to Growth) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
PE Ratio See PE Ratio Section -2.43x
Net Income Annual Growth Rate See Future Growth Section.
Line of Best Fit* through Consensus Estimate Earnings of 0 Analysts
Not available
Europe Construction Industry PEG Ratio Median Figure of 45 Publicly-Listed Construction Companies 1.23x
Italy Market PEG Ratio Median Figure of 163 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.21x

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Unable to calculate PEG ratio for Agatos, we can't assess if its growth is good value.
Price based on value of assets
What value do investors place on Agatos's assets?
Raw Data
BIT:AGA PB (Price to Book) Ratio Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Book Value per Share Company Filings (2018-06-30) in EUR €0.18
BIT:AGA Share Price * BIT (2019-06-25) in EUR €0.12
Italy Construction Industry PB Ratio Median Figure of 6 Publicly-Listed Construction Companies 1.31x
Italy Market PB Ratio Median Figure of 324 Publicly-Listed Companies 1.47x
BIT:AGA PB (Price to Book) Ratio Calculation
Calculation Outcome
PB Ratio

= BIT:AGA Share Price ÷ Book Value per Share (both in EUR)

= 0.12 ÷ 0.18

0.65x

* Primary Listing of Agatos.

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Agatos is good value based on assets compared to the IT Construction industry average.
X
Value checks
We assess Agatos's value by looking at:
  1. Is the discounted cash flow value less than 20%, or 40% of the share price? (2 checks) ( Click here or on bar chart for details of DCF calculation. )
  2. Is the PE ratio less than the market average, and/ or less than the Construction industry average (and greater than 0)? (2 checks)
  3. Is the PEG ratio within a reasonable range (0 to 1)? (1 check)
  4. Is the PB ratio less than the Construction industry average (and greater than 0)? (1 check)
  5. Agatos has a total score of 1/6, see the detailed checks below.

    Note: We use GAAP Earnings per Share in all our calculations including PE and PEG Ratio.

    Full details on the Value part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Future Performance

 How is Agatos expected to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 0 analysts?

In this section we usually present revenue and earnings growth projections based on the consensus estimates of professional analysts to help investors understand the company’s ability to generate profit. But as Agatos has not provided enough past data and has no analyst forecast, its future earnings cannot be reliably calculated by extrapolating past data or using analyst predictions.

This is quite a rare situation as 97% of companies covered by Simply Wall St do have past financial data. You can see them here.

Show me the analysis anyway

The future performance of a company is measured in the same way as past performance, by looking at estimated growth and how much profit it is expected to make.

Future estimates come from professional analysts. Just like forecasting the weather, they don’t always get it right!
Annual Growth Rate
12.7%
Expected Construction industry annual growth in earnings.
Earnings growth vs Low Risk Savings
Is Agatos expected to grow at an attractive rate?
  • Unable to compare Agatos's earnings growth to the low risk savings rate as no estimate data is available.
Growth vs Market Checks
  • Unable to compare Agatos's earnings growth to the Italy market average as no estimate data is available.
  • Unable to compare Agatos's revenue growth to the Italy market average as no estimate data is available.
Annual Growth Rates Comparison
Raw Data
BIT:AGA Future Growth Rates Data Sources
Data Point Source Value (per year)
Europe Construction Industry Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 12.7%
Italy Construction Industry Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 4.3%
Italy Market Earnings Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 9.1%
Italy Market Revenue Growth Rate Market Cap Weighted Average 3.6%

*Line of best fit is calculated by linear regression .

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Learn more about our growth rate calculations in Simply Wall St’s analysis model.

Analysts growth expectations
Raw Data
BIT:AGA Analysts Growth Expectations Data Sources
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (11 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 0 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
All numbers in EUR Millions and using Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.
BIT:AGA Past Financials Data
Date (Data in EUR Millions) Revenue Cash Flow Net Income *
2018-06-30 9 -3
2018-03-31 8 -3
2017-12-31 7 0 -2
2016-12-31 1 -3 -5
2015-12-31 6 0

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Super high growth metrics
High Growth Checks
  • Unable to determine if Agatos is high growth as no earnings estimate data is available.
  • Unable to determine if Agatos is high growth as no revenue estimate data is available.
Past and Future Earnings per Share
The accuracy of the analysts who estimate the future performance data can be gauged below. We look back 3 years and see if they were any good at predicting what actually occurred. We also show the highest and lowest estimates looking forward to see if there is a wide range.
Raw Data
BIT:AGA Past and Future Earnings per Share
Data Point Source Value
Past Financials Company Filings (11 months ago) See Below
Future Estimates Average of up to 0 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below

All data from Agatos Company Filings, last reported 11 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

BIT:AGA Past Financials Data
Date (Data in EUR Millions) EPS *
2018-06-30 -0.05
2018-03-31 -0.04
2017-12-31 -0.04
2016-12-31
2015-12-31

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance in 3 years
In the same way as past performance we look at the future estimated return (profit) compared to the available funds. We do this looking forward 3 years.
  • Unable to establish if Agatos will efficiently use shareholders’ funds in the future without estimates of Return on Equity.

Next steps:

  1. Agatos's future outlook can be gauged by looking at industry trends and market size, and determining how well-positioned the company is compared to its competitors. Take a look at other high-growth Capital Goods companies here
  2. Agatos's competitive advantages and company strategy can generally be found in its financial reports archived here.
  3. Use fundamentals to screen for another stock to analyse from our database of over 75,000 companies worldwide
X
Future performance checks
We assess Agatos's future performance by looking at:
  1. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the low risk savings rate, plus a premium to keep pace with inflation?
  2. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in earnings of the Europe market? (1 check)
  3. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to beat the average growth rate in revenue of the Italy market? (1 check)
  4. Is the annual earnings growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the annual revenue growth rate expected to be above 20%? (1 check)
  6. Is the Return on Equity in 3 years expected to be over 20%? (1 check)
Some of the above checks will fail if the company is expected to be loss making in the relevant year.
Agatos has a total score of 0/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note 1: We use GAAP Net Income Excluding Exceptional Items for our Earnings in all our calculations.

Full details on the Future part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Past Performance

  How has Agatos performed over the past 5 years?

  • Agatos's last earnings update was 271 days ago.
The past performance of a company can be measured by how much growth it has experienced and how much profit it makes relative to the funds and assets it has available.
Past earnings growth
Below we compare Agatos's growth in the last year to its industry (Construction).
Past Earnings growth analysis
We also check if the company has grown in the past 5 years, and whether it has maintained that growth in the year.
  • Agatos does not make a profit and their year on year earnings growth rate was negative over the past 5 years.
  • Unable to compare Agatos's 1-year earnings growth to the 5-year average as it is not currently profitable.
  • Unable to compare Agatos's 1-year growth to the Europe Construction industry average as it is not currently profitable.
Earnings and Revenue History
Agatos's revenue and profit over the past 5 years is shown below, any years where they have experienced a loss will show up in red.
Raw Data

All data from Agatos Company Filings, last reported 11 months ago, and in Trailing twelve months (TTM) annual period rather than quarterly.

BIT:AGA Past Revenue, Cash Flow and Net Income Data
Date (Data in EUR Millions) Revenue Net Income * G+A Expenses R&D Expenses
2018-06-30 8.86 -3.10 1.05
2018-03-31 7.88 -2.76 0.91
2017-12-31 6.89 -2.42 0.77
2016-12-31 1.31 -5.27 0.00
2015-12-31 5.72 0.30 1.08
2014-12-31 0.46 0.02 0.15
2013-12-31 1.08 0.07 0.14

*GAAP earnings excluding extraordinary items.

Performance last year
We want to ensure a company is making the most of what it has available. This is done by comparing the return (profit) to a company's available funds, assets and capital.
  • It is difficult to establish if Agatos has efficiently used shareholders’ funds last year (Return on Equity greater than 20%) as it is loss-making.
  • It is difficult to establish if Agatos has efficiently used its assets last year compared to the Europe Construction industry average (Return on Assets) as it is loss-making.
  • It is difficult to establish if Agatos improved its use of capital last year versus 3 years ago (Return on Capital Employed) as it is currently loss-making.
X
Past performance checks
We assess Agatos's performance over the past 5 years by checking for:
  1. Has earnings increased in past 5 years? (1 check)
  2. Has the earnings growth in the last year exceeded that of the Construction industry? (1 check)
  3. Is the recent earnings growth over the last year higher than the average annual growth over the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the Return on Equity (ROE) higher than 20%? (1 check)
  5. Is the Return on Assets (ROA) above industry average? (1 check)
  6. Has the Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) increased from 3 years ago? (1 check)
The above checks will fail if the company has reported a loss in the most recent earnings report. Some checks require at least 3 or 5 years worth of data.
Agatos has a total score of 0/6, see the detailed checks below.

Note: We use GAAP Net Income excluding extraordinary items in all our calculations.

Full details on the Past part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Health

 How is Agatos's financial health and their level of debt?

A company's financial position is much like your own financial position, it includes everything you own (assets) and owe (liabilities).

The boxes below represent the relative size of what makes up Agatos's finances.

The net worth of a company is the difference between its assets and liabilities.
Net Worth
  • Agatos's short term (1 year) commitments are greater than its holdings of cash and other short term assets.
  • Agatos's long term commitments exceed its cash and other short term assets.
Balance sheet
This treemap shows a more detailed breakdown of Agatos's finances. If any of them are yellow this indicates they may be out of proportion and red means they relate to one of the checks below.
Assets
Liabilities and shares
The 'shares' portion represents any funds contributed by the owners (shareholders) and any profits.
  • High level of physical assets or inventory.
  • Debt is not covered by short term assets, assets are 0.5x debt.
Historical Debt
Nearly all companies have debt. Debt in itself isn’t bad, however if the debt is too high, or the company can’t afford to pay the interest on its debts this may have impacts in the future.

The graphic below shows equity (available funds) and debt, we ideally want to see the red area (debt) decreasing.

If there is any debt we look at the companies capability to repay it, and whether the level has increased over the past 5 years.
Raw Data

All data from Agatos Company Filings, last reported 11 months ago.

BIT:AGA Past Debt and Equity Data
Date (Data in EUR Millions) Total Equity Total Debt Cash & Short Term Investments
2018-06-30 12.53 16.29 0.68
2018-03-31 12.53 16.29 0.68
2017-12-31 14.14 16.78 1.72
2016-12-31 -0.18 16.44 1.04
2015-12-31 2.77 1.17 0.34
2014-12-31 0.25 0.00 0.04
2013-12-31 0.27 0.00 0.04
  • Agatos's level of debt (130%) compared to net worth is high (greater than 40%).
  • Unable to establish if Agatos's debt level has increased without past 5-year debt data.
CASH RUNWAY ANALYSIS

For companies that have on average been loss making in the past we assess whether they have at least 1 year of cash runway.

  • Agatos has sufficient cash runway for 1.1 years based on current free cash flow.
  • Agatos has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years if free cash flow continues to reduce at historical rates of -145.7% each year.
X
Financial health checks
We assess Agatos's financial health by checking for:
  1. Are short term assets greater than short term liabilities? (1 check)
  2. Are short term assets greater than long term liabilities? (1 check)
  3. Has the debt to equity ratio increased in the past 5 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the debt to equity ratio over 40%? (1 check)
  5. Is the debt covered by operating cash flow? (1 check)
  6. Are earnings greater than 5x the interest on debt (if company pays interest at all)? (1 check)
  7. Agatos has a total score of 2/6, see the detailed checks below.
For companies that are loss making and have been so on average in the past we replace the last 2 checks with:
  1. Does cash and short term investments cover stable operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)
  2. Does cash and short term investments cover growing operating expenses (recurring G&A and R&D) for more than 3 years? (1 check)


Full details on the Health part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Dividends

 What is Agatos's current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividends are regular cash payments to you from the company, similar to a bank paying you interest on a savings account.
Annual Dividend Income
Dividend payments
0%
Current annual income from Agatos dividends.
If you bought €2,000 of Agatos shares you are expected to receive €0 in your first year as a dividend.
Dividend Amount
Here we look how much dividend is being paid, if any. Is it above what you can get in a savings account? It is up there with the best dividend paying companies?
  • Unable to evaluate Agatos's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers as the company has not reported any payouts.
  • Unable to evaluate Agatos's dividend against the top 25% market benchmark as the company has not reported any payouts.
Annualized Historical and Future Dividends
It is important to see if the dividend for a company is stable, and not wildly increasing/decreasing each year. This graph shows you the historical rate to count toward your assessment of the stock.

We also check to see if the dividend has increased in the past 10 years.
Raw Data
BIT:AGA Annualized Past and Future Dividends
Data Point Source Value
Past Annualized Dividend Yield S&P Global Market Data See Below
Past Dividends per Share Company Filings/ Annualized Dividend Payments See Below
Future Dividends per Share Estimates Average of up to 0 Analyst Estimates (S&P Global) See Below
Europe Construction Industry Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 74 Stocks 3.8%
Italy Market Average Dividend Yield Market Cap Weighted Average of 185 Stocks 4.2%
Italy Minimum Threshold Dividend Yield 10th Percentile 1.1%
Italy Bottom 25% Dividend Yield 25th Percentile 2.1%
Italy Top 25% Dividend Yield 75th Percentile 4.6%

Industry and Market average data is calculated daily.

Note all dividend per share amounts are annualized and not quarterly or other period.

Learn more about our ratios and growth rates in Simply Wall St’s analysis model >

  • Unable to perform a dividend volatility check as Agatos has not reported any payouts.
  • Unable to verify if Agatos's dividend has been increasing as the company has not reported any payouts.
Current Payout to shareholders
What portion of Agatos's earnings are paid to the shareholders as a dividend.
  • Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as Agatos has not reported any payouts.
Future Payout to shareholders
  • Insufficient estimate data to determine if a dividend will be paid in 3 years and that it will be sustainable.
X
Income/ dividend checks
We assess Agatos's dividend by checking for:
  1. Firstly is the company paying a notable dividend (greater than 1.1%) - if not then the rest of the checks are ignored.
  2. Is current dividend yield above the bottom 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  3. Is current dividend yield above the top 25% of dividend payers? (1 check)
  4. Have they paid a dividend for 10 years, and during this period has the dividend been volatile (drop of more than 25%)? (1 check)
  5. If they have paid a dividend for 10 years has it increased in this time? (1 check)
  6. How sustainable is the dividend, can Agatos afford to pay it from its earnings today and in 3 years (Payout ratio less than 90%)? (2 checks)
  7. Agatos has a total score of 0/6, see the detailed checks below.


Full details on the Dividends part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

Management

 What is the CEO of Agatos's salary, the management and board of directors tenure and is there insider trading?

Management is one of the most important areas of a company. We look at unreasonable CEO compensation, how long the team and board of directors have been around for and insider trading.
  • Agatos has no CEO, or we have no data on them.
Management Team
Board of Directors

Leonardo Rinaldi

TITLE
Chairman of the Board

Anna Olivetti

TITLE
Director

Vittorio Positano

TITLE
Director
Who owns this company?
Recent Insider Trading
  • No 3 month individual insider trading information.
Recent Insider Transactions
Announced Type Name Entity Role Start End Shares Max Price (€) Value (€)
X
Management checks
We assess Agatos's management by checking for:
  1. Is the CEO's compensation unreasonable compared to market cap? (1 check)
  2. Has the CEO's compensation increased more than 20% whilst the EPS is down more then 20%? (1 check)
  3. Is the average tenure of the management team less than 2 years? (1 check)
  4. Is the average tenure of the board of directors team less than 3 years? (1 check)
  5. Agatos has a total score of 0/6, this is not included on the snowflake, see the detailed checks below.


Note: We use the top 6 management executives and board members in our calculations.

Note 2: Insider trading include any internal stakeholders and these transactions .

Full details on the Management part of the Simply Wall St company analysis model.

News

Simply Wall St News

Those Who Purchased Agatos (BIT:AGA) Shares A Year Ago Have A 45% Loss To Show For It

Check out our latest analysis for Agatos Agatos isn't a profitable company, so it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). … In the last year Agatos saw its revenue grow by 117%. … The share price drop of 45% over twelve months would be considered disappointing by many, so you might argue the company is getting little credit for its impressive revenue growth.

Simply Wall St -

Do Insiders Own Shares In Agatos S.p.A. (BIT:AGA)?

Agatos is not a large company by global standards. … Our analysis of the ownership of the company, below, shows that. … institutional investors have not yet purchased much of the company

Simply Wall St -

Company Info

Description

Agatos S.p.A. operates as an engineering, procurement, and construction company. The company designs, implements, and delivers turnkey photovoltaic plants from biomass, waste-to-energy, biogas, hydro, and small wind turbines. It engineers and builds plants on a turnkey basis for energy efficiency and the production of renewable energy for clients, including companies and individuals, as well as provides O&M and asset management services to its clients. The company is based in Milan, Italy.

Details
Name: Agatos S.p.A.
AGA
Exchange: BIT
Founded:
€7,526,158
63,511,889
Website: http://www.agatos.it
Address: Agatos S.p.A.
Via Cesare Ajraghi, 30,
Milan,
Milan, 20156,
Italy
Listings
Exchange Symbol Ticker Symbol Security Exchange Country Currency Listed on
BIT AGA Ordinary Shares Borsa Italiana IT EUR 15. Mar 2017
Number of employees
Current staff
Staff numbers
0
Agatos employees.
Industry
Construction and Engineering
Capital Goods
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Area Date (UTC time)
Company Analysis updated: 2019/06/26 03:47
End of day share price update: 2019/06/25 00:00
Last earnings filing: 2018/09/28
Last earnings reported: 2018/06/30
Last annual earnings reported: 2017/12/31


All dates and times in UTC. All financial data provided by Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.